St. Louis Blues at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2021-12-19 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 4 - 2 St. Louis Blues

Win Probability

WPG: 56.8%

STL: 43.2%

Expected Goals

WPG: 2.74

STL: 2.76

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 49%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	28	26	2	92.9%	2.89	2	0.89
STL	Jordan Binnington	34	30	4	88.2%	3.40	3	-0.60

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 69% • WPG at home vs STL: 12-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	STL 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	STL
2026-03-15	WPG 3 - 2 STL	WPG	STL
2026-01-20	WPG 3 - 1 STL	WPG	STL
2025-12-17	STL 1 - 0 WPG	STL	WPG
2025-05-04	WPG 4 - 3 STL	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	14	0	0.94
1	STL	12	1	1.00
2	WPG	15	1	0.98
2	STL	13	1	0.99
3	WPG	13	2	1.48
3	STL	18	0	0.90

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.5

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 4 - 2 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 2.7 - 2.8