Toronto Maple Leafs at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2022-02-14 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 2 - 6 Toronto Maple Leafs

🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 53.3%

TOR: 46.7%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.11

TOR: 3.45

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 49%

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

TOR

J. Campbell

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	25	19	6	76.0%	2.37	1	-3.63
TOR	J. Campbell	25	23	2	92.0%	2.03	0	0.03

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • SEA at home vs TOR: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-29	SEA 5 - 2 TOR	SEA	SEA
2025-10-18	TOR 3 - 4 SEA	SEA	SEA
2025-02-06	SEA 1 - 3 TOR	TOR	TOR
2024-10-31	TOR 4 - 1 SEA	TOR	TOR
2024-01-21	SEA 1 - 3 TOR	TOR	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	9	0	0.43
1	TOR	16	0	1.26
2	SEA	14	0	0.79
2	TOR	10	1	0.56
3	SEA	15	0	0.81
3	TOR	10	0	0.55

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 2 - 6 Toronto Maple Leafs

Expected: 3.1 - 3.5