Carolina Hurricanes at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2022-02-10 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 0 - 6 Carolina Hurricanes

🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

Win Probability

BOS: 55.9%

CAR: 44.1%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.15

CAR: 2.99

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

BOS

L. Ullmark

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	L. Ullmark	43	37	6	86.0%	3.68	1	-2.32
CAR	Frederik Andersen	34	34	0	100.0%	2.65	0	2.65

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 68% • BOS at home vs CAR: 6-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	CAR 6 - 5 BOS	CAR	CAR
2025-11-17	BOS 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-01	BOS 2 - 1 CAR	BOS	CAR
2025-04-05	BOS 5 - 1 CAR	BOS	BOS
2025-03-06	CAR 3 - 2 BOS	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	14	0	0.90
1	CAR	22	1	1.54
2	BOS	13	0	0.61
2	CAR	15	0	0.95
3	BOS	19	0	1.14
3	CAR	17	0	1.19

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 0 - 6 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0