St. Louis Blues at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2022-02-15 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 2 - 5 St. Louis Blues

Win Probability

OTT: 46.3%

STL: 53.7%

Expected Goals

OTT: 2.60

STL: 3.38

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 48%

OTT

M. Murray

STL

V. Husso

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
OTT	M. Murray	36	31	5	86.1%	5.08	2	0.08
STL	V. Husso	20	18	2	90.0%	1.49	0	-0.51

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • OTT at home vs STL: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-06	OTT 1 - 2 STL	STL	OTT
2025-11-28	STL 4 - 3 OTT	STL	STL
2025-01-03	STL 4 - 0 OTT	STL	STL
2024-10-29	OTT 8 - 1 STL	OTT	OTT
2024-03-21	OTT 2 - 5 STL	STL	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	9	0	0.70
1	STL	18	0	1.38
2	OTT	10	0	0.43
2	STL	14	0	1.14
3	OTT	10	0	0.36
3	STL	20	2	2.56

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 2 - 5 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 2.6 - 3.4