Florida Panthers at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions
2022-02-20 • United Center
Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 5 Florida Panthers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CHI: 49.6%
FLA: 50.4%
Expected Goals
CHI: 2.86
FLA: 3.17
Total Goals
Median: 6.6
Over 5.5: 71%
Over 6.5: 55%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CHI
M. Fleury
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA
| Stat | CHI | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | 2.80 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | M. Fleury | 25 | 20 | 5 | 80.0% | 3.27 | 2 | -1.73 |
| FLA | Sergei Bobrovsky | 24 | 22 | 2 | 91.7% | 1.71 | 0 | -0.29 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • CHI at home vs FLA: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 | CHI 1 - 5 FLA | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-10-07 | FLA 3 - 2 CHI | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-02-01 | FLA 5 - 1 CHI | FLA | FLA |
| 2024-11-21 | CHI 3 - 1 FLA | CHI | FLA |
| 2023-11-12 | FLA 4 - 3 CHI | FLA | FLA |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CHI | 15 | 0 | 0.72 |
| 1 | FLA | 6 | 0 | 0.61 |
| 2 | CHI | 9 | 0 | 0.41 |
| 2 | FLA | 14 | 0 | 0.64 |
| 3 | CHI | 10 | 0 | 0.58 |
| 3 | FLA | 14 | 2 | 2.03 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 50.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 5 Florida Panthers
Expected: 2.9 - 3.2
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