Vancouver Canucks at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2022-02-17 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 4 - 5 Vancouver Canucks (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)

Win Probability

SJS: 60.3%

VAN: 39.7%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.09

VAN: 3.08

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 71%

Over 6.5: 55%

SJS

J. Reimer

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	J. Reimer	27	22	5	81.5%	2.45	0	-2.55
VAN	Thatcher Demko	28	24	4	85.7%	2.57	0	-1.43

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • SJS at home vs VAN: 2-8

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	SJS 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	SJS
2026-01-27	VAN 2 - 5 SJS	SJS	VAN
2025-12-27	VAN 3 - 6 SJS	SJS	VAN
2025-11-28	SJS 3 - 2 VAN	SJS	VAN
2025-04-14	VAN 2 - 1 SJS	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	SJS	5	0.19
1	VAN	19	1.00
2	SJS	22	1.30
2	VAN	10	0.60
3	SJS	15	1.08
3	VAN	8	0.49
4	SJS	0	0.00
4	VAN	3	0.37

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 4 - 5 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1