Arizona Coyotes at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2022-02-09 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 2 - 5 Arizona Coyotes

🚨 Upset Loss (73% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 73.0%

ARI: 27.0%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.32

ARI: 3.50

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 40%

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	27	22	5	81.5%	3.81	2	-1.19
ARI	K. Vejmelka	36	34	2	94.4%	2.31	0	0.31

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SEA at home vs ARI: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-04-09	SEA 5 - 0 ARI	SEA	SEA
2024-03-22	ARI 2 - 1 SEA	ARI	ARI
2023-11-07	ARI 4 - 3 SEA	ARI	ARI
2023-04-10	ARI 1 - 4 SEA	SEA	ARI
2023-04-06	SEA 4 - 2 ARI	SEA	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	21	0	0.88
1	ARI	15	0	1.26
2	SEA	11	0	0.72
2	ARI	17	0	1.40
3	SEA	12	0	0.70
3	ARI	13	2	1.15

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 73.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 2 - 5 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 3.3 - 3.5