Nashville Predators at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2022-02-22 • FLA Live Arena

Florida Panthers 4 - 6 Nashville Predators

🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

Win Probability

FLA: 56.4%

NSH: 43.6%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.60

NSH: 2.96

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 49%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

NSH

D. Rittich

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	33	27	6	81.8%	3.21	2	-2.79
NSH	D. Rittich	48	44	4	91.7%	3.55	0	-0.45

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • FLA at home vs NSH: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-04	FLA 1 - 2 NSH	NSH	FLA
2025-11-24	NSH 3 - 8 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-02-25	NSH 1 - 4 FLA	FLA	FLA
2024-11-07	FLA 6 - 2 NSH	FLA	FLA
2024-03-21	FLA 0 - 3 NSH	NSH	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	15	0	0.90
1	NSH	13	1	0.99
2	FLA	27	0	1.54
2	NSH	17	0	1.10
3	FLA	20	0	1.11
3	NSH	9	1	1.13

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 4 - 6 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.6 - 3.0