Montreal Canadiens at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2022-04-07 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 4 - 7 Montreal Canadiens

🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 60.2%

MTL: 39.8%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.34

MTL: 3.23

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 52%

NJD

A. Hammond

MTL

J. Allen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	A. Hammond	26	19	7	73.1%	2.15	2	-4.85
MTL	J. Allen	37	33	4	89.2%	3.46	1	-0.54

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • NJD at home vs MTL: 4-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-05	MTL 0 - 3 NJD	NJD	NJD
2026-04-04	NJD 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	NJD
2025-11-06	NJD 4 - 3 MTL	NJD	NJD
2025-02-08	MTL 0 - 4 NJD	NJD	NJD
2025-01-25	MTL 3 - 4 NJD	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	15	1	1.12
1	MTL	9	0	0.31
2	NJD	21	0	1.46
2	MTL	9	0	0.49
3	NJD	15	0	0.88
3	MTL	19	2	1.34

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 4 - 7 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.3 - 3.2