Dallas Stars at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2022-02-18 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 0 - 1 Dallas Stars (SO)

Win Probability

CHI: 41.9%

DAL: 58.1%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.00

DAL: 3.29

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 41%

CHI

M. Fleury

DAL

Jake Oettinger - 16-7-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.57 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	M. Fleury	34	32	2	94.1%	2.47	0	0.47
DAL	Jake Oettinger	39	38	1	97.4%	3.02	1	2.02

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CHI at home vs DAL: 3-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-08	DAL 4 - 3 CHI	DAL	DAL
2026-01-01	CHI 4 - 3 DAL	CHI	CHI
2025-12-27	DAL 3 - 4 CHI	CHI	DAL
2024-12-29	CHI 1 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL
2024-11-27	CHI 6 - 2 DAL	CHI	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	16	1	1.11
1	DAL	9	0	0.54
2	CHI	13	0	0.55
2	DAL	12	0	0.57
3	CHI	11	0	0.53
3	DAL	11	0	0.62
4	CHI	5	0	0.44
4	DAL	5	0	0.38
5	CHI	6	0	0.39
5	DAL	6	0	0.37

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 1.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 0 - 1 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.0 - 3.3