Detroit Red Wings at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions
2022-02-14 • Xcel Energy Center
Minnesota Wild 7 - 4 Detroit Red Wings
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MIN: 58.0%
DET: 42.0%
Expected Goals
MIN: 3.33
DET: 2.92
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MIN
K. Kahkonen
DET
A. Nedeljkovic
| Stat | MIN | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | K. Kahkonen | 34 | 30 | 4 | 88.2% | 2.46 | 0 | -1.54 |
| DET | A. Nedeljkovic | 25 | 18 | 7 | 72.0% | 3.31 | 3 | -3.69 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • MIN at home vs DET: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | DET 4 - 5 MIN | MIN | MIN |
| 2026-01-22 | MIN 4 - 3 DET | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-02-25 | MIN 2 - 3 DET | DET | MIN |
| 2025-02-22 | DET 3 - 4 MIN | MIN | DET |
| 2023-12-27 | MIN 6 - 3 DET | MIN | MIN |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIN | 11 | 0 | 0.82 |
| 1 | DET | 12 | 0 | 0.55 |
| 2 | MIN | 12 | 0 | 0.66 |
| 2 | DET | 7 | 0 | 0.11 |
| 3 | MIN | 12 | 3 | 1.83 |
| 3 | DET | 23 | 0 | 1.80 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 58.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Minnesota Wild 7 - 4 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 3.3 - 2.9
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