Anaheim Ducks at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2022-02-19 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 4 - 7 Anaheim Ducks

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

VAN: 52.1%

ANA: 47.9%

Expected Goals

VAN: 2.68

ANA: 3.55

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Thatcher Demko	25	18	7	72.0%	3.95	4	-3.05
ANA	John Gibson	20	16	4	80.0%	1.73	0	-2.27

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 68% • VAN at home vs ANA: 7-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-12	ANA 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	ANA
2026-03-24	VAN 3 - 5 ANA	ANA	ANA
2026-01-29	VAN 2 - 0 ANA	VAN	ANA
2025-11-26	ANA 4 - 5 VAN	VAN	ANA
2025-04-05	VAN 6 - 2 ANA	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	6	0	0.21
1	ANA	12	1	0.86
2	VAN	11	0	0.80
2	ANA	13	2	2.11
3	VAN	11	0	0.71
3	ANA	13	1	0.98

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 4 - 7 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 2.7 - 3.6