Los Angeles Kings at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2022-02-18 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 3 - 4 Los Angeles Kings (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

VGK: 52.0%

LAK: 48.0%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.28

LAK: 3.08

Total Goals

Median: 7.0

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 54%

VGK

L. Brossoit

LAK

J. Quick

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VGK	L. Brossoit	31	27	4	87.1%	3.55	2	-0.45
LAK	J. Quick	24	21	3	87.5%	2.21	1	-0.79

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • VGK at home vs LAK: 5-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-25	LAK 4 - 6 VGK	VGK	LAK
2026-02-05	VGK 4 - 1 LAK	VGK	VGK
2026-01-14	LAK 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	LAK
2025-10-08	VGK 5 - 6 LAK	LAK	VGK
2025-03-09	VGK 5 - 6 LAK	LAK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	10	1	0.85
1	LAK	21	2	1.62
2	VGK	17	0	1.09
2	LAK	11	0	0.65
3	VGK	9	0	0.21
3	LAK	17	0	0.83
4	VGK	1	0	0.06
4	LAK	4	0	0.44

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 3 - 4 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1