Edmonton Oilers at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2022-02-14 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 0 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

SJS: 50.9%

EDM: 49.1%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.01

EDM: 2.75

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 51%

SJS

J. Reimer

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	J. Reimer	41	38	3	92.7%	3.84	1	0.84
EDM	Stuart Skinner	20	20	0	100.0%	1.83	0	1.83

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 79% • SJS at home vs EDM: 2-8

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-08	SJS 2 - 5 EDM	EDM	SJS
2026-03-17	EDM 5 - 3 SJS	EDM	EDM
2026-02-28	SJS 5 - 4 EDM	SJS	EDM
2026-01-29	EDM 4 - 3 SJS	EDM	EDM
2025-04-16	SJS 0 - 3 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	11	0	0.91
1	EDM	15	1	1.12
2	SJS	2	0	0.17
2	EDM	18	0	1.34
3	SJS	11	0	0.75
3	EDM	23	0	1.37

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 0 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.0 - 2.7