Detroit Red Wings at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2022-02-17 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 2 - 3 Detroit Red Wings (SO)

Win Probability

NYR: 48.6%

DET: 51.4%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.11

DET: 3.20

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 42%

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

DET

T. Greiss

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	38	34	4	89.5%	4.61	4	0.61
DET	T. Greiss	43	40	3	93.0%	4.61	1	1.61

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYR at home vs DET: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	NYR 4 - 1 DET	NYR	NYR
2025-11-16	NYR 1 - 2 DET	DET	NYR
2025-11-07	DET 1 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR
2024-11-09	DET 0 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR
2024-10-17	DET 2 - 5 NYR	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	13	0	0.87
1	DET	15	0	0.84
2	NYR	20	0	1.61
2	DET	14	1	0.97
3	NYR	13	0	0.71
3	DET	7	0	0.35
4	NYR	4	0	0.23
4	DET	5	1	0.52
5	NYR	6	1	1.18
5	DET	6	2	1.93

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 2 - 3 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2