Florida Panthers at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2022-02-16 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 3 Florida Panthers (OT)

Win Probability

CAR: 46.1%

FLA: 53.9%

Expected Goals

CAR: 2.63

FLA: 3.22

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 51%

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Frederik Andersen	31	28	3	90.3%	3.10	1	0.10
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	18	16	2	88.9%	2.45	1	0.45

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 48% • CAR at home vs FLA: 4-10

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-09-29	CAR 0 - 1 FLA	FLA	CAR
2026-01-16	CAR 9 - 1 FLA	CAR	CAR
2025-12-23	CAR 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	CAR
2025-12-19	FLA 4 - 3 CAR	FLA	CAR
2025-05-28	CAR 3 - 5 FLA	FLA	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	14	1	1.44
1	FLA	14	0	0.80
2	CAR	10	0	0.70
2	FLA	14	0	1.10
3	CAR	5	0	0.31
3	FLA	15	1	1.02
4	CAR	0	0	0.00
4	FLA	1	0	0.17

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 3 Florida Panthers

Expected: 2.6 - 3.2