Toronto Maple Leafs at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2022-02-22 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 4 - 3 Toronto Maple Leafs (OT)

Win Probability

CBJ: 53.3%

TOR: 46.7%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 2.83

TOR: 2.15

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 58%

CBJ

J. Berube

TOR

J. Campbell

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	J. Berube	42	39	3	92.9%	3.32	1	0.32
TOR	J. Campbell	30	26	4	86.7%	2.23	2	-1.77

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • CBJ at home vs TOR: 4-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-26	CBJ 1 - 2 TOR	TOR	CBJ
2025-11-20	TOR 2 - 3 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2025-10-29	CBJ 6 - 3 TOR	CBJ	CBJ
2025-04-05	TOR 5 - 0 CBJ	TOR	TOR
2025-01-22	TOR 1 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	TOR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	18	1	1.03
1	TOR	10	0	0.62
2	CBJ	6	1	0.45
2	TOR	19	0	1.59
3	CBJ	12	0	0.62
3	TOR	18	1	1.11
4	CBJ	1	0	0.13
4	TOR	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.0

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 4 - 3 Toronto Maple Leafs

Expected: 2.8 - 2.2