New Jersey Devils at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2022-02-10 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 4 - 7 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

STL: 47.6%

NJD: 52.4%

Expected Goals

STL: 2.68

NJD: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 45%

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

NJD

J. Gillies

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	29	22	7	75.9%	2.86	2	-4.14
NJD	J. Gillies	31	27	4	87.1%	2.56	0	-1.44

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • STL at home vs NJD: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-28	STL 1 - 3 NJD	NJD	STL
2025-11-26	NJD 3 - 2 STL	NJD	NJD
2024-12-17	STL 1 - 4 NJD	NJD	NJD
2024-11-27	NJD 0 - 3 STL	STL	NJD
2024-03-07	NJD 4 - 1 STL	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	8	0	0.44
1	NJD	16	0	0.85
2	STL	18	0	1.27
2	NJD	12	0	0.40
3	STL	15	0	0.85
3	NJD	13	2	1.60

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 4 - 7 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 2.7 - 2.9