Nashville Predators at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2022-02-09 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 4 - 3 Nashville Predators

Win Probability

DAL: 50.6%

NSH: 49.4%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.19

NSH: 3.16

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 47%

DAL

Jake Oettinger - 16-7-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.57 GAA

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DAL	Jake Oettinger	23	20	3	87.0%	2.22	2	-0.78
NSH	Juuse Saros	27	23	4	85.2%	4.41	1	0.41

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • DAL at home vs NSH: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-28	DAL 3 - 2 NSH	DAL	DAL
2025-11-08	NSH 4 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-10-26	NSH 2 - 3 DAL	DAL	NSH
2025-04-16	NSH 5 - 1 DAL	NSH	NSH
2025-04-03	DAL 5 - 1 NSH	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	6	0	0.47
1	NSH	15	0	0.80
2	DAL	20	0	1.97
2	NSH	10	2	0.83
3	DAL	17	1	1.97
3	NSH	13	0	0.58

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 4 - 3 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.2 - 3.2