Seattle Kraken at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2022-02-21 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 5 - 2 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

VAN: 53.6%

SEA: 46.4%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.16

SEA: 2.98

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 45%

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

SEA

C. Driedger

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Thatcher Demko	27	25	2	92.6%	1.90	0	-0.10
SEA	C. Driedger	46	41	5	89.1%	5.19	4	0.19

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • VAN at home vs SEA: 3-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	VAN 2 - 5 SEA	SEA	SEA
2026-02-28	SEA 5 - 1 VAN	SEA	SEA
2026-01-02	VAN 3 - 4 SEA	SEA	VAN
2025-12-29	SEA 2 - 3 VAN	VAN	VAN
2025-04-02	VAN 0 - 5 SEA	SEA	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	19	2	1.53
1	SEA	11	0	0.67
2	VAN	20	0	1.38
2	SEA	4	0	0.36
3	VAN	19	2	2.28
3	SEA	18	0	0.87

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 5 - 2 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0