San Jose Sharks at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2022-02-22 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 4 - 3 San Jose Sharks (SO)

🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)

Win Probability

ANA: 46.5%

SJS: 53.5%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.48

SJS: 3.28

Total Goals

Median: 6.9

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 53%

ANA

A. Stolarz

SJS

J. Reimer

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	A. Stolarz	44	41	3	93.2%	3.41	0	0.41
SJS	J. Reimer	32	27	5	84.4%	4.40	2	-0.60

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • ANA at home vs SJS: 8-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	ANA 6 - 1 SJS	ANA	ANA
2026-04-01	SJS 4 - 3 ANA	SJS	SJS
2025-12-29	ANA 4 - 5 SJS	SJS	ANA
2025-10-11	SJS 6 - 7 ANA	ANA	ANA
2025-04-01	ANA 4 - 3 SJS	ANA	ANA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	11	0	0.58
1	SJS	14	0	0.55
2	ANA	27	0	1.52
2	SJS	16	0	1.39
3	ANA	14	0	0.60
3	SJS	14	0	0.59
4	ANA	0	0	0.00
4	SJS	7	0	0.74
5	ANA	3	2	1.71
5	SJS	2	0	0.14

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 4 - 3 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.5 - 3.3