Arizona Coyotes at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2021-12-28 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 8 - 7 Arizona Coyotes (SO)

Win Probability

SJS: 57.2%

ARI: 42.8%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.21

ARI: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

SJS

J. Reimer

ARI

S. Wedgewood

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	J. Reimer	47	40	7	85.1%	4.32	0	-2.68
ARI	S. Wedgewood	29	20	9	69.0%	4.93	3	-4.07

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • SJS at home vs ARI: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-04-07	SJS 2 - 5 ARI	ARI	ARI
2023-12-21	SJS 2 - 5 ARI	ARI	ARI
2023-12-15	ARI 1 - 0 SJS	ARI	ARI
2023-04-01	ARI 2 - 7 SJS	SJS	SJS
2023-01-10	ARI 2 - 4 SJS	SJS	SJS

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	14	0	0.93
1	ARI	18	0	1.46
2	SJS	17	1	1.35
2	ARI	17	0	1.29
3	SJS	7	0	0.58
3	ARI	14	0	1.04
4	SJS	3	0	0.39
4	ARI	7	0	0.38
5	SJS	2	2	1.67
5	ARI	2	0	0.16

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 15.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 8 - 7 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0