Boston Bruins at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2022-02-12 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 0 - 2 Boston Bruins

Win Probability

OTT: 36.3%

BOS: 63.7%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.14

BOS: 3.48

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 49%

OTT

M. Murray

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
OTT	M. Murray	37	35	2	94.6%	5.07	5	3.07
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	30	30	0	100.0%	2.47	1	2.47

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 63% • OTT at home vs BOS: 6-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-21	BOS 2 - 6 OTT	OTT	BOS
2025-11-13	OTT 5 - 3 BOS	OTT	OTT
2025-11-06	BOS 3 - 2 OTT	BOS	OTT
2025-10-27	OTT 7 - 2 BOS	OTT	OTT
2025-03-13	OTT 6 - 3 BOS	OTT	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	12	0	0.57
1	BOS	26	1	2.18
2	OTT	14	0	0.57
2	BOS	7	0	0.34
3	OTT	22	1	1.33
3	BOS	15	4	2.54

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 0 - 2 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.1 - 3.5