Philadelphia Flyers at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2021-12-29 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 2 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 58.8%

PHI: 41.2%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.51

PHI: 2.99

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 51%

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

PHI

M. Jones

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	22	19	3	86.4%	1.46	0	-1.54
PHI	M. Jones	36	34	2	94.4%	2.22	0	0.22

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • SEA at home vs PHI: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-28	SEA 4 - 1 PHI	SEA	PHI
2025-10-20	PHI 5 - 2 SEA	PHI	PHI
2025-03-08	PHI 1 - 4 SEA	SEA	PHI
2024-10-17	SEA 6 - 4 PHI	SEA	SEA
2024-02-10	PHI 3 - 2 SEA	PHI	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	SEA	15	0.85
1	PHI	7	0.34
2	SEA	16	0.74
2	PHI	5	0.40
3	SEA	15	0.44
3	PHI	16	0.57
4	SEA	4	0.19
4	PHI	2	0.14

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 2 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.5 - 3.0