Edmonton Oilers at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2021-12-31 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 6 - 5 Edmonton Oilers (OT)

Win Probability

NJD: 53.7%

EDM: 46.3%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.11

EDM: 3.24

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 49%

NJD

M. Blackwood

EDM

M. Smith

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	M. Blackwood	37	32	5	86.5%	3.17	1	-1.83
EDM	M. Smith	41	35	6	85.4%	3.43	2	-2.57

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • NJD at home vs EDM: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-20	EDM 1 - 2 NJD	NJD	EDM
2025-10-18	NJD 5 - 3 EDM	NJD	EDM
2025-03-13	NJD 3 - 2 EDM	NJD	EDM
2024-11-04	EDM 0 - 3 NJD	NJD	NJD
2023-12-21	NJD 3 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	17	0	0.93
1	EDM	13	0	1.00
2	NJD	16	1	1.01
2	EDM	15	0	0.58
3	NJD	16	0	1.08
3	EDM	20	1	1.28
4	NJD	3	1	0.41
4	EDM	2	0	0.31

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 6 - 5 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2