Anaheim Ducks at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2021-12-31 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 3 - 1 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

VGK: 50.4%

ANA: 49.6%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.43

ANA: 3.16

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 50%

VGK

L. Brossoit

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VGK	L. Brossoit	16	15	1	93.8%	1.32	0	0.32
ANA	John Gibson	45	42	3	93.3%	4.93	1	1.93

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VGK at home vs ANA: 9-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-14	ANA 1 - 5 VGK	VGK	ANA
2026-05-12	VGK 3 - 2 ANA	VGK	VGK
2026-05-10	ANA 4 - 3 VGK	ANA	ANA
2026-05-08	ANA 2 - 6 VGK	VGK	ANA
2026-05-06	VGK 1 - 3 ANA	ANA	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	24	0	1.45
1	ANA	5	0	0.34
2	VGK	22	1	2.11
2	ANA	7	0	0.46
3	VGK	17	0	1.37
3	ANA	10	0	0.52

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 3 - 1 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.4 - 3.2