Philadelphia Flyers at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2022-01-01 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 6 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers

Win Probability

LAK: 57.5%

PHI: 42.5%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.41

PHI: 3.07

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 51%

LAK

J. Quick

PHI

M. Jones

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	J. Quick	37	34	3	91.9%	3.71	2	0.71
PHI	M. Jones	34	28	6	82.4%	4.57	3	-1.43

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • LAK at home vs PHI: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	LAK 3 - 4 PHI	PHI	LAK
2026-01-31	PHI 2 - 3 LAK	LAK	PHI
2024-12-29	LAK 5 - 4 PHI	LAK	LAK
2024-12-19	PHI 3 - 7 LAK	LAK	LAK
2023-11-11	LAK 2 - 4 PHI	PHI	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	23	1	1.91
1	PHI	15	2	1.40
2	LAK	17	1	1.54
2	PHI	16	0	0.99
3	LAK	11	1	1.12
3	PHI	18	0	1.32

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 6 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.4 - 3.1