San Jose Sharks at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions
2022-01-02 • PPG Paints Arena
Pittsburgh Penguins 8 - 5 San Jose Sharks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 60.5%
SJS: 39.5%
Expected Goals
PIT: 3.42
SJS: 2.77
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
C. DeSmith
SJS
J. Reimer
| Stat | PIT | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT | C. DeSmith | 27 | 22 | 5 | 81.5% | 2.34 | 0 | -2.66 |
| SJS | J. Reimer | 39 | 31 | 8 | 79.5% | 5.12 | 1 | -2.88 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • PIT at home vs SJS: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-13 | PIT 5 - 6 SJS | SJS | PIT |
| 2025-10-18 | SJS 0 - 3 PIT | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-01-27 | SJS 2 - 1 PIT | SJS | PIT |
| 2024-11-16 | PIT 4 - 3 SJS | PIT | PIT |
| 2024-03-14 | PIT 6 - 3 SJS | PIT | PIT |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PIT | 28 | 0 | 2.15 |
| 1 | SJS | 14 | 0 | 0.86 |
| 2 | PIT | 14 | 0 | 1.16 |
| 2 | SJS | 11 | 0 | 0.56 |
| 3 | PIT | 21 | 1 | 1.81 |
| 3 | SJS | 14 | 0 | 0.92 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 60.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 13.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Pittsburgh Penguins 8 - 5 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 3.4 - 2.8
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