Calgary Flames at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2022-01-02 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 1 - 5 Calgary Flames

Win Probability

CHI: 38.0%

CGY: 62.0%

Expected Goals

CHI: 2.71

CGY: 3.57

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 49%

CHI

Arvid Soderblom - 4-7-1 | 0.873 SV% | 4.02 GAA

CGY

J. Markstrom

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Arvid Soderblom	42	37	5	88.1%	4.52	1	-0.48
CGY	J. Markstrom	31	30	1	96.8%	2.39	1	1.39

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • CHI at home vs CGY: 4-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-15	CHI 1 - 3 CGY	CGY	CGY
2025-11-18	CHI 5 - 2 CGY	CHI	CGY
2025-11-07	CGY 0 - 4 CHI	CHI	CGY
2025-01-13	CHI 2 - 5 CGY	CGY	CGY
2024-12-21	CGY 6 - 4 CHI	CGY	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	15	1	1.39
1	CGY	11	0	0.71
2	CHI	11	0	0.55
2	CGY	31	0	2.32
3	CHI	13	0	0.44
3	CGY	12	1	1.49

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 1 - 5 Calgary Flames

Expected: 2.7 - 3.6