Edmonton Oilers at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2022-01-03 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 4 - 1 Edmonton Oilers

🚨 Upset Win (60% underdog)

Win Probability

NYR: 39.6%

EDM: 60.4%

Expected Goals

NYR: 2.69

EDM: 3.09

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 50%

NYR

A. Georgiev

EDM

M. Koskinen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	A. Georgiev	34	33	1	97.1%	2.42	2	1.42
EDM	M. Koskinen	28	24	4	85.7%	2.35	0	-1.65

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NYR at home vs EDM: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-10-30	EDM 3 - 4 NYR	NYR	EDM
2025-10-14	NYR 0 - 2 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-03-16	NYR 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	EDM
2024-11-23	EDM 6 - 2 NYR	EDM	EDM
2023-12-22	NYR 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	15	0	0.74
1	EDM	10	0	0.39
2	NYR	13	0	1.18
2	EDM	21	1	1.14
3	NYR	8	0	0.43
3	EDM	16	1	0.89

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 4 - 1 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 2.7 - 3.1