New Jersey Devils at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2022-01-04 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 5 - 3 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

BOS: 56.5%

NJD: 43.5%

Expected Goals

BOS: 2.92

NJD: 3.19

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

BOS

L. Ullmark

NJD

M. Blackwood

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	L. Ullmark	26	23	3	88.5%	2.54	2	-0.46
NJD	M. Blackwood	34	29	5	85.3%	3.53	1	-1.47

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • BOS at home vs NJD: 7-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	BOS 4 - 0 NJD	BOS	NJD
2026-03-16	NJD 4 - 3 BOS	NJD	NJD
2025-12-06	BOS 4 - 1 NJD	BOS	BOS
2025-04-15	BOS 4 - 5 NJD	NJD	NJD
2025-04-08	NJD 2 - 7 BOS	BOS	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	14	0	0.92
1	NJD	9	0	0.50
2	BOS	18	1	1.34
2	NJD	13	2	1.49
3	BOS	17	0	1.27
3	NJD	11	0	0.55

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 5 - 3 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 2.9 - 3.2