San Jose Sharks at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2022-01-04 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 6 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

DET: 50.7%

SJS: 49.3%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.02

SJS: 3.11

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 71%

Over 6.5: 56%

DET

A. Nedeljkovic

SJS

J. Reimer

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	A. Nedeljkovic	26	24	2	92.3%	2.25	1	0.25
SJS	J. Reimer	31	25	6	80.6%	2.74	2	-3.26

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • DET at home vs SJS: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-16	DET 4 - 2 SJS	DET	DET
2025-11-02	SJS 2 - 3 DET	DET	DET
2025-01-14	DET 3 - 6 SJS	SJS	DET
2024-11-18	SJS 5 - 4 DET	SJS	DET
2024-01-02	SJS 3 - 5 DET	DET	DET

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	10	0	0.42
1	SJS	8	0	0.54
2	DET	15	1	1.34
2	SJS	14	0	0.98
3	DET	13	1	0.97
3	SJS	8	1	0.72

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 6 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.0 - 3.1