Colorado Avalanche at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2022-01-04 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 4 Colorado Avalanche (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

CHI: 52.0%

COL: 48.0%

Expected Goals

CHI: 2.90

COL: 3.07

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 40%

CHI

M. Fleury

COL

D. Kuemper

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	M. Fleury	33	29	4	87.9%	2.57	0	-1.43
COL	D. Kuemper	31	28	3	90.3%	2.53	0	-0.47

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 61% • CHI at home vs COL: 3-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-20	CHI 1 - 4 COL	COL	COL
2026-02-28	COL 3 - 1 CHI	COL	COL
2025-11-23	CHI 0 - 1 COL	COL	COL
2025-04-02	CHI 2 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2025-03-10	COL 3 - 0 CHI	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	CHI	6	0.13
1	COL	19	1.15
2	CHI	21	1.43
2	COL	10	0.55
3	CHI	9	0.70
3	COL	13	0.58
4	CHI	3	0.28
4	COL	4	0.28

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 4 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 2.9 - 3.1