Winnipeg Jets at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2022-01-04 • Gila River Arena

Arizona Coyotes 1 - 3 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

ARI: 50.0%

WPG: 50.0%

Expected Goals

ARI: 2.91

WPG: 2.63

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 47%

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ARI	K. Vejmelka	49	46	3	93.9%	4.94	3	1.94
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	27	26	1	96.3%	2.59	1	1.59

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • ARI at home vs WPG: 0-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-02-25	WPG 4 - 3 ARI	WPG	WPG
2024-01-07	ARI 2 - 6 WPG	WPG	ARI
2023-11-18	WPG 5 - 2 ARI	WPG	WPG
2023-11-04	ARI 3 - 5 WPG	WPG	ARI
2023-03-21	WPG 2 - 1 ARI	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ARI	16	0	0.80
1	WPG	17	1	0.75
2	ARI	13	1	1.08
2	WPG	22	0	1.62
3	ARI	13	0	0.72
3	WPG	26	2	2.57

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.5

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 1 - 3 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 2.9 - 2.6