Philadelphia Flyers at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2022-01-04 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 4 - 1 Philadelphia Flyers

Win Probability

ANA: 54.8%

PHI: 45.2%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.44

PHI: 2.97

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 47%

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

PHI

C. Hart

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	John Gibson	29	28	1	96.6%	3.13	2	2.13
PHI	C. Hart	30	26	4	86.7%	3.06	2	-0.94

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • ANA at home vs PHI: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-18	ANA 2 - 3 PHI	PHI	ANA
2026-01-06	PHI 5 - 2 ANA	PHI	PHI
2025-01-11	PHI 6 - 0 ANA	PHI	PHI
2024-12-28	ANA 1 - 3 PHI	PHI	PHI
2023-11-10	ANA 3 - 6 PHI	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	14	0	0.77
1	PHI	10	0	0.39
2	ANA	12	0	0.89
2	PHI	11	1	0.97
3	ANA	14	2	1.41
3	PHI	24	1	1.78

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 4 - 1 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.4 - 3.0