New York Islanders at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2022-02-22 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 2 - 5 New York Islanders

Win Probability

SEA: 45.3%

NYI: 54.7%

Expected Goals

SEA: 2.85

NYI: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	36	31	5	86.1%	3.81	3	-1.19
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	25	23	2	92.0%	2.75	1	0.75

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • SEA at home vs NYI: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-21	SEA 4 - 1 NYI	SEA	NYI
2025-11-23	NYI 1 - 0 SEA	NYI	NYI
2024-12-05	NYI 2 - 5 SEA	SEA	NYI
2024-11-16	SEA 3 - 2 NYI	SEA	NYI
2024-02-13	NYI 1 - 2 SEA	SEA	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	8	0	0.32
1	NYI	14	1	1.35
2	SEA	21	1	1.41
2	NYI	16	1	1.01
3	SEA	18	0	1.02
3	NYI	10	1	1.46

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 2 - 5 New York Islanders

Expected: 2.8 - 2.9