New York Islanders at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2022-02-09 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 6 New York Islanders

Win Probability

VAN: 47.8%

NYI: 52.2%

Expected Goals

VAN: 2.92

NYI: 3.53

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 46%

VAN

J. Halak

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	J. Halak	27	21	6	77.8%	2.47	2	-3.53
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	37	34	3	91.9%	3.15	1	0.15

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • VAN at home vs NYI: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-19	VAN 3 - 4 NYI	NYI	NYI
2025-12-19	NYI 1 - 4 VAN	VAN	NYI
2025-03-26	NYI 2 - 5 VAN	VAN	VAN
2024-11-14	VAN 2 - 5 NYI	NYI	VAN
2024-01-09	NYI 2 - 5 VAN	VAN	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	14	0	0.83
1	NYI	16	0	1.12
2	VAN	18	1	1.22
2	NYI	7	1	0.64
3	VAN	21	0	1.11
3	NYI	13	1	0.70

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 6 New York Islanders

Expected: 2.9 - 3.5