Minnesota Wild at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2022-01-06 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 2 - 3 Minnesota Wild

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

Win Probability

BOS: 54.6%

MIN: 45.4%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.08

MIN: 3.37

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 45%

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

MIN

K. Kahkonen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	30	27	3	90.0%	2.79	1	-0.21
MIN	K. Kahkonen	38	36	2	94.7%	2.46	0	0.46

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • BOS at home vs MIN: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	BOS 6 - 3 MIN	BOS	MIN
2025-12-14	MIN 6 - 2 BOS	MIN	BOS
2025-03-02	MIN 1 - 0 BOS	MIN	MIN
2025-02-04	BOS 3 - 0 MIN	BOS	BOS
2023-12-23	MIN 3 - 2 BOS	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	13	0	0.69
1	MIN	18	0	1.14
2	BOS	12	0	0.76
2	MIN	13	0	0.79
3	BOS	20	0	1.01
3	MIN	9	1	0.85

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 2 - 3 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.1 - 3.4