Winnipeg Jets at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2022-01-06 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 7 - 1 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

COL: 55.8%

WPG: 44.2%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.49

WPG: 2.83

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 46%

COL

D. Kuemper

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	D. Kuemper	35	34	1	97.1%	3.11	1	2.11
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	42	35	7	83.3%	3.09	2	-3.91

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • COL at home vs WPG: 7-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	COL 2 - 4 WPG	WPG	COL
2026-03-26	WPG 2 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2026-03-14	WPG 3 - 1 COL	WPG	COL
2025-12-19	COL 3 - 2 WPG	COL	COL
2025-01-22	COL 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	13	1	0.86
1	WPG	15	1	0.94
2	COL	20	1	1.23
2	WPG	12	0	0.78
3	COL	14	0	1.00
3	WPG	21	0	1.39

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 7 - 1 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.5 - 2.8