New York Rangers at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2022-01-06 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 5 - 1 New York Rangers

Win Probability

VGK: 64.5%

NYR: 35.5%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.49

NYR: 2.73

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

VGK

R. Lehner

NYR

A. Georgiev

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VGK	R. Lehner	20	19	1	95.0%	2.23	1	1.23
NYR	A. Georgiev	35	30	5	85.7%	3.64	5	-1.36

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • VGK at home vs NYR: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-07	NYR 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-11-18	VGK 3 - 2 NYR	VGK	VGK
2025-02-02	NYR 4 - 2 VGK	NYR	VGK
2025-01-11	VGK 1 - 2 NYR	NYR	VGK
2024-01-26	NYR 2 - 5 VGK	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	17	2	1.32
1	NYR	12	1	1.08
2	VGK	19	3	1.67
2	NYR	11	0	0.59
3	VGK	15	0	0.65
3	NYR	8	0	0.56

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 5 - 1 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.5 - 2.7