Detroit Red Wings at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2022-01-09 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 4 - 3 Detroit Red Wings (SO)

Win Probability

ANA: 60.1%

DET: 39.9%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.40

DET: 2.79

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 48%

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

DET

T. Greiss

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	Lukas Dostal	37	34	3	91.9%	3.20	0	0.20
DET	T. Greiss	30	25	5	83.3%	4.19	2	-0.81

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • ANA at home vs DET: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-13	DET 6 - 3 ANA	DET	DET
2025-10-31	ANA 5 - 2 DET	ANA	ANA
2025-02-23	DET 5 - 4 ANA	DET	DET
2024-11-15	ANA 6 - 4 DET	ANA	ANA
2024-01-07	ANA 2 - 3 DET	DET	DET

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	12	0	0.66
1	DET	14	0	0.64
2	ANA	8	0	0.65
2	DET	16	0	0.69
3	ANA	16	0	0.97
3	DET	16	0	1.06
4	ANA	2	0	0.13
4	DET	6	0	0.68
5	ANA	3	2	1.78
5	DET	2	0	0.13

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 4 - 3 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.4 - 2.8