Ottawa Senators at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2022-04-18 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 4 - 2 Ottawa Senators

Win Probability

SEA: 54.9%

OTT: 45.1%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.32

OTT: 3.10

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 49%

SEA

C. Driedger

OTT

Anton Forsberg - 11-12-3 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	C. Driedger	14	12	2	85.7%	1.58	2	-0.42
OTT	Anton Forsberg	29	25	4	86.2%	3.53	2	-0.47

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • SEA at home vs OTT: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	SEA 4 - 7 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-10-16	OTT 4 - 3 SEA	OTT	OTT
2024-12-17	SEA 0 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2024-11-02	OTT 3 - 0 SEA	OTT	OTT
2024-01-04	SEA 4 - 1 OTT	SEA	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	15	0	0.90
1	OTT	9	1	0.62
2	SEA	15	1	1.32
2	OTT	10	0	0.37
3	SEA	7	1	1.31
3	OTT	8	1	0.59

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 4 - 2 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1