Calgary Flames at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2022-01-07 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 6 - 3 Calgary Flames

Win Probability

CAR: 63.2%

CGY: 36.8%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.00

CGY: 2.73

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 53%

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

CGY

Dan Vladar - 12-11-6 | 0.898 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Frederik Andersen	39	36	3	92.3%	4.10	4	1.10
CGY	Dan Vladar	37	31	6	83.8%	2.64	0	-3.36

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 90% • CAR at home vs CGY: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	CGY 5 - 4 CAR	CGY	CGY
2025-11-30	CAR 1 - 0 CGY	CAR	CAR
2025-03-02	CAR 2 - 1 CGY	CAR	CAR
2024-10-24	CGY 2 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2024-03-10	CAR 7 - 2 CGY	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	12	0	0.58
1	CGY	24	2	2.13
2	CAR	25	0	1.32
2	CGY	11	1	1.04
3	CAR	13	0	0.74
3	CGY	14	1	0.94

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 6 - 3 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.0 - 2.7