San Jose Sharks at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2022-01-08 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 2 - 3 San Jose Sharks (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

Win Probability

PHI: 53.0%

SJS: 47.0%

Expected Goals

PHI: 2.96

SJS: 3.05

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 56%

PHI

M. Jones

SJS

A. Hill

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
PHI	M. Jones	47	44	3	93.6%	3.38	1	0.38
SJS	A. Hill	31	29	2	93.5%	2.23	0	0.23

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • PHI at home vs SJS: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	SJS 1 - 4 PHI	PHI	SJS
2025-12-09	PHI 4 - 1 SJS	PHI	PHI
2024-12-31	SJS 0 - 4 PHI	PHI	PHI
2024-11-11	PHI 4 - 3 SJS	PHI	PHI
2024-03-12	PHI 3 - 2 SJS	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	17	0	0.90
1	SJS	14	0	0.37
2	PHI	15	0	0.77
2	SJS	18	0	1.12
3	PHI	10	0	0.54
3	SJS	25	1	1.71
4	PHI	1	0	0.02
4	SJS	1	0	0.17

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 2 - 3 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.0 - 3.0