Seattle Kraken at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2022-02-17 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 5 - 3 Seattle Kraken

🚨 Upset Win (57% underdog)

Win Probability

WPG: 43.1%

SEA: 56.9%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.16

SEA: 3.24

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

WPG

Eric Comrie - 6-9-1 | 0.880 SV% | 3.49 GAA

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Eric Comrie	23	20	3	87.0%	2.45	0	-0.55
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	29	24	5	82.8%	4.23	2	-0.77

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • WPG at home vs SEA: 6-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-06	WPG 6 - 2 SEA	WPG	WPG
2025-11-13	SEA 5 - 3 WPG	SEA	SEA
2025-10-23	WPG 0 - 3 SEA	SEA	WPG
2025-03-16	SEA 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	WPG
2025-01-16	WPG 2 - 1 SEA	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	10	0	0.74
1	SEA	14	0	0.92
2	WPG	12	1	1.25
2	SEA	14	0	1.16
3	WPG	17	1	2.23
3	SEA	10	0	0.37

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 5 - 3 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.2 - 3.2