Nashville Predators at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2022-01-08 • Gila River Arena

Arizona Coyotes 2 - 4 Nashville Predators

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

ARI: 51.9%

NSH: 48.1%

Expected Goals

ARI: 2.78

NSH: 3.65

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 42%

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ARI	K. Vejmelka	29	25	4	86.2%	2.71	1	-1.29
NSH	Juuse Saros	40	38	2	95.0%	3.83	0	1.83

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • ARI at home vs NSH: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-03-28	ARI 8 - 4 NSH	ARI	NSH
2024-02-10	NSH 5 - 4 ARI	NSH	NSH
2024-01-20	ARI 3 - 2 NSH	ARI	NSH
2023-11-11	NSH 5 - 7 ARI	ARI	NSH
2023-03-09	ARI 4 - 1 NSH	ARI	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ARI	15	0	1.04
1	NSH	21	0	1.25
2	ARI	19	0	1.39
2	NSH	7	0	0.35
3	ARI	20	0	1.40
3	NSH	10	1	1.11

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 2 - 4 Nashville Predators

Expected: 2.8 - 3.7