Chicago Blackhawks at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2022-01-08 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 1 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks

🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)

Win Probability

VGK: 62.3%

CHI: 37.7%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.88

CHI: 2.76

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 47%

VGK

R. Lehner

CHI

M. Fleury

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VGK	R. Lehner	21	19	2	90.5%	1.71	0	-0.29
CHI	M. Fleury	31	30	1	96.8%	2.11	1	1.11

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 69% • VGK at home vs CHI: 7-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-09-29	VGK 5 - 2 CHI	VGK	VGK
2026-03-14	VGK 4 - 0 CHI	VGK	VGK
2026-01-04	CHI 3 - 2 VGK	CHI	VGK
2025-12-02	VGK 4 - 3 CHI	VGK	VGK
2025-03-28	CHI 3 - 5 VGK	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	13	0	0.49
1	CHI	10	0	0.43
2	VGK	14	0	0.82
2	CHI	15	0	0.99
3	VGK	13	1	0.79
3	CHI	10	0	0.29

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 62.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 1 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.9 - 2.8