Detroit Red Wings at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions
2022-01-08 • Crypto.com Arena
Los Angeles Kings 4 - 0 Detroit Red Wings
🚨 Upset Win (50% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
LAK: 50.0%
DET: 50.0%
Expected Goals
LAK: 3.22
DET: 3.23
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
LAK
C. Petersen
DET
A. Nedeljkovic
| Stat | LAK | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | C. Petersen | 21 | 21 | 0 | 100.0% | 2.23 | 1 | 2.23 |
| DET | A. Nedeljkovic | 42 | 38 | 4 | 90.5% | 5.41 | 4 | 1.41 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • LAK at home vs DET: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-27 | DET 1 - 3 LAK | LAK | LAK |
| 2025-10-30 | LAK 3 - 4 DET | DET | LAK |
| 2025-01-27 | DET 5 - 2 LAK | DET | DET |
| 2024-11-16 | LAK 4 - 1 DET | LAK | LAK |
| 2024-01-13 | DET 5 - 3 LAK | DET | LAK |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LAK | 33 | 2 | 2.54 |
| 1 | DET | 4 | 0 | 0.39 |
| 2 | LAK | 11 | 0 | 1.17 |
| 2 | DET | 13 | 0 | 1.02 |
| 3 | LAK | 10 | 2 | 1.70 |
| 3 | DET | 12 | 1 | 0.81 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Los Angeles Kings 4 - 0 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 3.2 - 3.2
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