Dallas Stars at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2022-01-09 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 2 - 1 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

STL: 62.9%

DAL: 37.1%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.26

DAL: 2.79

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 46%

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

DAL

B. Holtby

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	27	26	1	96.3%	2.31	0	1.31
DAL	B. Holtby	31	29	2	93.5%	3.15	0	1.15

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • STL at home vs DAL: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-04	DAL 5 - 4 STL	DAL	DAL
2026-01-27	STL 3 - 4 DAL	DAL	STL
2026-01-23	DAL 3 - 2 STL	DAL	DAL
2025-10-18	STL 3 - 1 DAL	STL	STL
2025-03-02	DAL 6 - 3 STL	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	STL	13	0.72
1	DAL	11	0.48
2	STL	10	0.72
2	DAL	15	1.08
3	STL	21	1.71
3	DAL	11	0.74

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 2 - 1 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.3 - 2.8