Columbus Blue Jackets at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2022-02-12 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 1 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets

Win Probability

MTL: 46.7%

CBJ: 53.3%

Expected Goals

MTL: 2.86

CBJ: 2.97

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 51%

MTL

Samuel Montembeault - 6-6-1 | 0.863 SV% | 3.52 GAA

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MTL	Samuel Montembeault	42	40	2	95.2%	4.59	1	2.59
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	31	30	1	96.8%	2.71	1	1.71

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • MTL at home vs CBJ: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	MTL 2 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2026-03-26	MTL 2 - 1 CBJ	MTL	CBJ
2025-11-17	CBJ 4 - 3 MTL	CBJ	MTL
2024-12-23	CBJ 5 - 4 MTL	CBJ	MTL
2024-11-27	CBJ 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	CBJ

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	10	0	0.37
1	CBJ	19	0	1.29
2	MTL	12	1	1.00
2	CBJ	22	1	2.22
3	MTL	22	0	1.35
3	CBJ	14	0	1.07

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 1 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 2.9 - 3.0